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Rockets vs. Heat odds, line: 2023 NBA picks, Feb. 10 predictions from proven computer model

SportsLine's model just revealed its NBA picks for Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat (30-25) will try to win consecutive games for the first time in two weeks when they host the Houston Rockets (13-42) on Friday night. Miami was able to snap its two-game losing skid with a 116-111 win over Indiana on Wednesday, keeping the Heat in sixth place in the Eastern Conference. Houston is in last place in the Western Conference and is coming off a 130-128 loss to Sacramento. 

Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. Miami is favored by 12 points in the latest Rockets vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 220.5. Before entering any Heat vs. Rockets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Rockets:

Rockets vs. Heat spread: Heat -12
Rockets vs. Heat over/under: 220.5 points
Rockets vs. Heat money line: Miami -700, Houston +500
Rockets vs. Heat picks: See picks here
Why the Rockets can cover
Miami has been struggling with consistency of late, losing two of its last three games and three of its last five. The Heat dropped back-to-back games against New York and Milwaukee last week before failing to cover the spread in their win over Indiana on Wednesday. They are playing without shooting guard Victor Oladipo (ankle), point guard Kyle Lowry (knee) and forward Duncan Robinson (finger). 

Houston is coming off a solid showing against Sacramento, easily covering the 8.5-point spread in a 130-128 final. Jalen Green poured in 41 points, while Alperen Sengun had 18 points, a career-high 11 assists and nine rebounds. The Rockets are facing a Miami team that has only covered the spread once in its last six games. 

Why the Heat can cover
This is a tough matchup for a Houston team that has the worst record in the NBA and is just 5-22 on the road this season. Miami is 18-9 at home and has won seven consecutive games at Miami-Dade Arena. The Heat have a trio of elite scoring options in Jimmy Butler (22.0 points per game), Bam Adebayo (21.8) and Tyler Herro (20.3). 

Adebayo is coming off one of his best games of the campaign, scoring 38 points on 12 of 16 shooting against Indiana on Wednesday. He went 14 of 14 from the charity stripe, reaching the 30-point mark for the 10th time this season. Miami has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games against Houston, which is just 5-13 against the spread in its last 18 games overall. The Heat also get to face a Rockets team that is missing its second-leading scorer in Kevin Porter Jr. (foot) and just traded away veteran Eric Gordon.

How to make Rockets vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Rockets vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Heat vs. Rockets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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